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  xmas3.gif (5334 bytes)

The percent of male teachers in various countries surveyed by TIMSS correlates with the Crosslinked TIMSS Scores.

wpe1.gif (4677 bytes)

The percent of first level and second level teachers who are men according to the UN Stastical Yearbook, 37th Issue, page 116, differs significantly from the TIMSS survey data for an as yet undetermined reason.  The UN data for the percent of first level teachers who are men correlates more closely with the Crosslinked TIMSS scores (r-squared = 0.4815) than it does to the percent of second level teachers who are men (r-squared = 0.1565), but both correlate significantly better than the TIMSS data (r-squared = 0.0002).

TIMSS Score

TIMSS Survey on percent of Men Teachers

UN Statistical Yearbook on percent of Men Teachers

Difference Between TIMSS & UN Figures

Switzerland

547

87

67

20

Japan (1)

605

72

69

3

Norway (1)

503

68

38

30

Sweden

492

67

31

36

Spain (5)

470

63

30

33

Iran (1)

428

63

60

3

Canada

499

62

58

4

Iceland (1)

487

61

71

-10

Hong Kong (1)

588

60

26

34

New Zealand (1)

508

58

56

2

France

544

57

33

24

Korea (1) (3)

607

55

52

3

England (1)

506

55

22

33

Ireland (1)

527

42

24

18

Singapore (1)

643

40

29

11

Cyprus

517

39

45

-6

US 1960

460

35

33

2

Belgium (1)

565

34

47

-13

Portugal (1)

454

32

19

13

Slovak Republic (1)

547

21

21

0

Czech Republic

494

18

66

-48

Hungary (1)

537

13

17

-4

Latvia (1)

493

10

10

0

Russia

548

3

60

-57

wpe5.gif (5090 bytes)

 wpe1.gif (5644 bytes)

Examining the above charts for extraneous data points leads to the following conclusions:

  1. Inconsistencies between TIMSS and UN data for both Singapore and Hong Kong requires the use of their own estimates.
  2. Inconsistencies in data from previous Soviet countries requires data from Latvia, the Slovak Republic and the Czech Republic be omitted.
  3. Iran, Iceland, and New Zealand are temporarily excluded from the correlation analysis so they can be examined more closely to determine why they fall so far outside of the model.
  4. The R-squared of 0.7373 is expected to increase to close to 0.9 as other data points are verified.

wpe7.gif (8452 bytes)

  1. Country
  2. 12th Grade TIMSS Geometry Score
  3. % Male HS Teachers Adjusted With Multiple Sources
  4. "% High School Teachers Who Are Men, TIMSS "
  5. "% Second Level Teachers Who Are Men, UN Statistical Yearbook"
  6. "% 1st Level Teachers Who Are Men, UN Statistical Yearbook"
A               B       C       D       E       F
Singapore (1)	643	70	40	48	29						
Taiwan (2)	610	69		69							
Korea (1) (3)	607	68	55	68	52						
Japan (1)	605	71	72	71	44						
Hong Kong (1)	588	60	60	51	26						
Belgium (1)	565	60	34	47							
Russia		548	60	3	40							
Switzerland 	547	67	87	33	67						
Slovak Republic 547	55	21	55							
France		544	43	57	43	33						
Netherlands (1)	541	65		72	36						
Bulgaria (1)	540	47		47							
Hungary (1)	537	60	13	60	17						
Ireland (1)	527	50	42	50	24						
Denmark		527	55		45	43		
Israel (1)	522	38		38	19		
Thailand (1)	522	50		50	52		
Cyprus		517	55	39	55	45		
Lithuania	515	45		55			
New Zealand (1)	508	56	58	44			
England (1)	506	55	55	45	22		
Norway (1)	503	49	68	51	38		
Canada		499	58	62	58	58		
Greece		498	47		47	51		
Scotland (1)	498	42		58			
Australia	496	52		52	29		
Czech Republic	494	54	18	66			
Latvia (1)	493	40	10	60			
Sweden 		492	55	67	55	31		
Germany		487	59		59	22		
Iceland (1)	487	61	61	71	
Romania (1)	482	52		52	30
Italy		480	39		39	10
Slovenia	476	38		38	
Spain (5)	470	53	63	53	30
North Dakota (6)469	33		75	
Austria		462	45		45	19
US 1960		460	33	35	33	
Portugal (1)	454	41	32	41	19
Iran (1)	428	29	63	60	
US 1995 	424	25		25	10
 

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