National Safety Council

What Are the Odds of
Dying?
The tables below were prepared in response to
frequent inquiries, especially from the media, asking, "What are the odds
of being killed by lightning?" or "What are the chances of dying in a
plane crash?"
The first table lists all injury-related causes of death, including
suicide and homicide, and shows them grouped by cause of death. The second
table lists only unintentional causes and shows them in rank order from
most likely to least likely which makes it easy to compare various causes.
The data are for 1996 which is the latest year available.
Each table has four columns. The first column gives the manner of
injury such as motor-vehicle crash, fall, fire, etc. The second column
gives the total number of deaths nationwide in 1996 due to the manner of
injury. The third column gives the odd of dying in one year due to the
manner of injury. The fourth column gives the lifetime odds of dying from
the manner of injury. Statements about the odds or chances of dying from a
given cause of death may be made as follows:
 | The odds of dying from (manner of injury) in 1996 were 1 in (value
given in the one-year odds column).
|
 | The life-time odds of dying from (manner of injury) for a person
born in 1996 were 1 in (value given in the lifetime odds
column). |
For example, referring to the first line of the table
below:
 | The odds of dying from an injury in 1996 were 1 in 1,765.
|
 | The lifetime odds of dying from an injury for a person born in 1996
were 1 in 23. |
Source: National Safety Council estimates based on
data from National Center for Health Statistics and U.S. Census Bureau.
Deaths are classified on the basis of the Ninth Revision of "The
International Classification of Diseases" (ICD). Numbers following titles
refer to External Cause of Injury and Poisoning classifications in the
ICD. Data for 1996 are the latest official figures. One year odds are
approximated by dividing the 1996 population (265,284,000) by the number
of deaths. Lifetime odds are approximated by dividing the one-year odds by
the life expectancy of a person born in 1996 (76.1 years).
Odds of Death Due to Injury, United States,
1996
Note: Lines in italics are subcategories of other
listed causes.
Lines enclosed in brackets, "[...]", are combinations of
two or more lines shown elsewhere.
|
Manner of Injury |
Deaths, 1996 |
One-year Odds |
Life-time Odds |
|
ALL INJURY DEATHS, E800-E999 |
150,298 |
1,765 |
23 |
|
All Accidental Deaths, E800-E949 |
94,948 |
2,794 |
37 |
|
Railway, E800-E807 |
565 |
469,529 |
6,170 |
|
Motor-vehicle, E810-E825 |
43,649 |
6,078 |
80 |
|
Pedestrian, .7 of E810-E825 |
6,028 |
44,009 |
578 |
|
Water transport, E830-E838 |
675 |
393,013 |
5,164 |
|
Drowning (excluded from drowning below), E830, E832
|
471 |
563,236 |
7,401 |
|
Other water transport, E831, E833-E838 |
204 |
1,300,412 |
17,088 |
|
Air and space transport, E840-E845 |
1,061 |
250,032 |
3,286 |
|
Poisoning by solids and liquids, E850-E866 |
8,872 |
29,901 |
393 |
|
Poisoning by gases and vapors, E867-E869 |
638 |
415,806 |
5,464 |
[Poisoning by solids, liquids, gases, vapors, E850-E869
] |
9,510 |
27,895 |
367 |
|
Complications, misadventures of surgical, medical care, E870-E879
|
2,919 |
90,882 |
1,194 |
|
Falls, E880-E888 |
14,986 |
17,702 |
233 |
|
Fire and flames, E890-E899 |
3,741 |
70,913 |
932 |
|
Excessive heat, E900 |
249 |
1,065,398 |
14,000 |
|
Excessive cold, E901 |
685 |
387,276 |
5,089 |
|
Hunger, thirst, exposure and neglect, E904 |
224 |
1,184,304 |
15,562 |
|
Poisoning by and toxic reaction to venomous animals, plants, E905
|
68 |
3,901,235 |
51,265 |
|
Venomous snakes, lizards, and spiders, E905.0, E905.1
|
13 |
20,406,462 |
268,153 |
|
Hornets, wasps and bees, E905.3 |
45 |
5,895,200 |
77,466 |
|
Other and unspecified animals, plants, E905.2, E905.4-E905.9
|
10 |
26,528,400 |
348,599 |
|
Other injury caused by animals, E906 |
107 |
2,479,290 |
32,579 |
|
Dog bite, E906.0 |
23 |
11,534,087 |
151,565 |
|
Other and unspecified injury by animal, E906.1-E906.9
|
84 |
3,158,143 |
41,500 |
|
Lightning, E907 |
63 |
4,210,857 |
55,333 |
|
Cataclysmic storms, and floods resulting from storms, E908
|
93 |
2,852,516 |
37,484 |
|
Cataclysmic earth surface movements and eruptions, E909
|
42 |
6,316,286 |
83,000 |
|
Other natural and environmental factors, E902, E903
|
19 |
13,962,316 |
183,473 |
|
Drowning, submersion (excluding water transport drownings above),
E910 |
3,488 |
76,056 |
999 |
|
During sport or recreation, E910.0-E910.2 |
645 |
411,293 |
5,405 |
|
In bathtub, E910.4 |
330 |
803,891 |
10,564 |
|
Other, unspecified drowning, submersion, E910.3, E910.8,
E910.9 |
2,513 |
105,565 |
1,387 |
|
[Drowning, all, E830, E832, E910 ] |
3,959 |
67,008 |
881 |
|
Inhalation and ingestion of food, E911 |
1,126 |
235,599 |
3,096 |
|
Inhalation and ingestion of other object, E912 |
2,080 |
127,540 |
1,676 |
|
Odds of Death Due to Unintentional Injury, Selected
Causes, United States, 1996 (in rank order)
Note: Lines in italics are subcategories of other
listed causes.
|
Manner of Injury |
Deaths, 1996 |
One-year Odds |
Life-time Odds |
|
All Accidental Deaths, E800-E949 |
94,948 |
2,794 |
37 |
|
Motor-vehicle, E810-E825 |
43,649 |
6,078 |
80 |
|
Falls, E880-E888 |
14,986 |
17,702 |
233 |
|
Poisoning by solids, liquids, gases, vapors, E850-E869
|
9,510 |
27,895 |
367 |
|
Poisoning by solids and liquids, E850-E866 |
8,872 |
29,901 |
393 |
|
Pedestrian, .7 of E810-E825 |
6,028 |
44,009 |
578 |
|
Drowning, all, E830, E832, E910 |
3,959 |
67,008 |
881 |
|
Fire and flames, E890-E899 |
3,741 |
70,913 |
932 |
|
Drowning, submersion (excluding water transport drownings above),
E910 |
3,488 |
76,056 |
999 |
|
Choking, E911-E912 |
3,206 |
82,746 |
1,087 |
|
Complications, misadventures of surgical, medical care, E870-E879
|
2,919 |
90,882 |
1,194 |
|
Inhalation and ingestion of other object, E912 |
2,080 |
127,540 |
1,676 |
|
Firearm missile, E922 |
1,134 |
233,937 |
3,074 |
|
Late effects (deaths more than one year after accident), E929
|
1,126 |
235,599 |
3,096 |
|
Inhalation and ingestion of food, E911 |
1,126 |
235,599 |
3,096 |
|
Mechanical suffocation, E913 |
1,114 |
238,136 |
3,129 |
|
Air and space transport, E840-E845 |
1,061 |
250,032 |
3,286 |
|
Machinery, E919 |
926 |
286,484 |
3,765 |
|
Struck by falling object, E916 |
732 |
362,410 |
4,762 |
|
Excessive cold, E901 |
685 |
387,276 |
5,089 |
|
Water transport, E830-E838 |
675 |
393,013 |
5,164 |
|
Drowning during sport or recreation, E910.0-E910.2
|
645 |
411,293 |
5,405 |
|
Poisoning by gases and vapors, E867-E869 |
638 |
415,806 |
5,464 |
|
Railway, E800-E807 |
565 |
469,529 |
6,170 |
|
Electric current, E925 |
482 |
550,382 |
7,232 |
|
Drowning In bathtub, E910.4 |
330 |
803,891 |
10,564 |
|
Adverse effects of drugs in therapeutic use, E930-E949
|
253 |
1,048,553 |
13,779 |
|
Excessive heat, E900 |
249 |
1,065,398 |
14,000 |
|
Hunger, thirst, exposure and neglect, E904 |
224 |
1,184,304 |
15,562 |
|
Struck against or by objects or persons, E917 |
171 |
1,551,368 |
20,386 |
|
Explosive material, E923 |
130 |
2,040,646 |
26,815 |
|
Other injury caused by animals, E906 |
107 |
2,479,290 |
32,579 |
|
Hot substance or object, corrosive material and steam, E924
|
104 |
2,550,808 |
33,519 |
|
Cutting or piercing instruments or objects, E920 |
97 |
2,734,887 |
35,938 |
|
Cataclysmic storms, and floods resulting from storms, E908
|
93 |
2,852,516 |
37,484 |
|
Caught in or between objects, E918 |
71 |
3,736,394 |
49,098 |
|
Poisoning by and toxic reaction to venomous animals, plants, E905
|
68 |
3,901,235 |
51,265 |
|
Lightning, E907 |
63 |
4,210,857 |
55,333 |
|
Explosive gases, E923.2 |
49 |
5,413,959 |
71,143 |
|
Hornets, wasps and bees, E905.3 |
45 |
5,895,200 |
77,466 |
|
Cataclysmic earth surface movements and eruptions, E909
|
42 |
6,316,286 |
83,000 |
|
Dog bite, E906.0 |
23 |
11,534,087 |
151,565 |
|
Other natural and environmental factors, E902, E903
|
19 |
13,962,316 |
183,473 |
|
Venomous snakes, lizards, and spiders, E905.0, E905.1
|
13 |
20,406,462 |
268,153 |
|
Fireworks, E923.0 |
9 |
29,476,000 |
387,332 |
Send an e-mail to rssdept@nsc.org with questions or for
additional information.

July 22, 2000
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