Drunk Drivers: 2.7% of all Involved in Fatal Accidents

Drivers With a BAC < 0.10 Have THIRTY SIX TIMES as Many Fatal Accidents as Drivers With a BAC > 0.10

 

How do we measure how effective the decades long DUI campaign has been based on the following data from the FARS (Fatal Accident Reporting System) web site? If only 2,280 drivers out of 102,382 people involved in fatal accidents, or 2.7% of them, had a BAC greater than 0.10, then how many of them would there have been WITHOUT this program? Ignoring for a moment that at the time England abandoned this practice, our total Motor Vehicle Fatality Rate was equivalent to theirs, and that now our rate is three times higher than England's, let's just make a WAG (Wild .ssed Guess) that it reduced it 10%, thus saving 228 lives per year, or 6,840 lives since MADD initiated these UNCONSTITUTIONAL and failed programs.

 

There have now been almost 50 MILLION DUI arrests, which means that with this PRESUMPTION, one life was saved for each 7,309 DUI arrests. But it also means that 49,997,220arrests were made which had NOTHING to do with traffic safety.

What do you call a state which arrests 7,309 INNOCENT citizens in order to find ONE citizen who MIGHT have an *accident* [read: NOT one who IS a criminal, but who MIGHT have an accident]?

Would "police state" be too kind a phrase? What would feminists do if we arrested 7,309 women in order to find ONE of them who MIGHT become a prostitute, by ACCIDENT?

 

Caveat: the following calculations don't include the possibility that 1 person might be counted twice in two different categories.  Also, if someone is not given the test, we cannot just presume that  they had been drinking alcohol as NHTSA presumes. It is true that they COULD have been drinking, BUT that this factor was not taken into account because drinking alcohol was not a factor in the accident.

 

 

Following are the results of a search of the 1998 FARS data base conducted on June 12, 2001, following NHTSA's processing of  the data in their "statistical model":

http://www-fars.nhtsa.dot.gov/

YEAR: 1998    STATE: (All) COUNT: Number of Persons
Group for Alcohol Test Result
Police-Reported Alcohol Involvement 0.00% 0.00%-0.09% 0.10%+ Test Refused None Given Test Performed, Result Unknown Unknown Total
Blank 0 0 0 0 1 0 10 11
No (Alcohol Not Involved) 10709 399 506 15 24057 1072 2177 38935
Yes (Alcohol Involved) 504 1265 5738 39 770 929 680 9925
Not Reported 5214 712 1627 9 33285 1036 2283 44166
Unknown (Police Reported) 4183 550 1845 9 1761 515 482 9345
Total 20610 2926 9716 72 59874 3552 5632 102,382
YEAR: 1998    STATE: (All) COUNT: Number of Persons

Person Type
Group for Alcohol Test Result Driver of a Motor Vehicle in Transport Passenger of a Motor Vehicle in Transport Occupant of a Motor Vehicle Not in Transport Occupant of a Non- Motor Vehicle Transport Device Pede strian Bicy clist Other Cyc list Other Pedes trians Unknown Occupant Type in a Motor Vehicle in Transport Unknown Type of Non- Motorist Total
0.00% 15753 2688 27 5 1803 288 1 25 20 0 20610
0.00%-0.09% 2105 520 3 1 259 24 0 3 11 0 2926
0.10%+ 7368 994 2 1 1215 94 0 8 34 0 9716
Test Refused 66 5 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 72
None Given 25974 31211 209 38 1977 336 2 61 65 1 59874
Test Performed, Result Unknown 2869 357 0 0 279 31 0 4 11 1 3552
Unknown 3182 1996 3 2 342 47 0 12 48 0 5632
Total 57317 37771 244 47 5876 820 3 113 189 2 102,382

YEAR: 1998    STATE: (All) COUNT: Number of Vehicles/Drivers

Group for Alcohol Test Result
Police-Reported Alcohol Involvement 0.00% 0.00%-0.09% 0.10%+ Test Refused None Given Test Performed, Result Unknown Unknown Total
Blank 0 0 0 0 1 0 10 11
No (Alcohol Not Involved) 9299 346 450 14 18725 976 1911 31721
Yes (Alcohol Involved) 456 1155 5061 39 599 815 609 8734
Not Reported 4155 590 1273 9 18652 890 1598 27167
Unknown (Police Reported) 3631 469 1479 9 1514 457 409 7968
Total 17541 2560 8263 71 39491 3138 4537 75,601

 

 

 

 

If 30% of all drivers are over the legal limit when they drive, then how can it be explained that only 2.7% of fatal traffic accidents involve drivers with a BAC  > 0.10.

Doesn't this mean that drinking drivers are under-represented by 30% / 2.7% = 11 fold and non-drinking drivers are OVER-represented by 97.3% / 70% = 39%?