% Fatal Crashes Fatal Crashes Average Ounces Alcohol per Day Percent of Population Relative Odds Miles Travelled Fatal Crashes per Billion Miles Total 100% 41,967 100% 1.497E+12 28.0 Drinking Driver 35% 14,688 1.28 60% 0.5833 8.982E+11 16.4 Non-Drinking Driver 65% 27,279 0 40% 1.625 5.988E+11 45.6 Ratio Non-Drinking:Drinking 1.86 1.86 0.00 0.67 2.79 0.67 2.79

I'm going to go ahead and answer my own question, because this is an important point to make--namely that our listening to and believing feminist lies costs us lots of lives, mostly men.

The fact that the non-drinking driver is 2.79 times more likely to have a fatal traffic accident per mile driven is not the probability of him having an accident, because the probability of a non-drinking driver having a fatal traffic accident with another non-drinking driver is 4.5 times greather than the probability of a drinking driver having a fatal traffic accident with another drinking driver.

 Crashes Rate per billion miles Total Crash Fatalities 41,967 28 Drinking Driver Crashes 14,688 16.4 Non-Drinking Driver Crashes 27,279 45.6 One Driver Crashes 13,989 9.3 Two Driver Crashes 27,978 18.7 Total Drivers in Two Driver Crashes 55,956 Crash With Only One Drinking Driver 3,701 2.4 Drinking Drivers in Two Driver Crashes 21,974 Drinking Driver Crashes with Drinking Driver 6,743 4.3 Drinking Driver Crashes With Non-Drinking Driver 15,236 9.7 Crash With Only One Non-Drinking Driver 10,288 10.5 Non-Drinking Drivers in Two Driver Crashes Non-Drinking Driver Crashes With Non-Drinking Driver 18,746 19.3 Non-Drinking Driver Crashes with Drinking Driver 15,236 15.7

If all drivers had the same traffic safety record of the drinking driver, there would be 36,478 FEWER traffic fatalities per year.  If anyone wants the original spreadsheet to verify these figures, let me know.

 Fatal accidents at drinking driver rate: One driver accidents 1,198 Two driver accidents 4,291 TOTAL 5,489 Current fatal accidents 41,967 Lives Saved Each Year By Outlawing Non-Drinking Drivers 36,478

From: <[email protected]>

To: <[email protected]>

Sent: Saturday, October 16, 1999 10:13 AM

Subject: [demand] Re: Alcohol Statistics

> Apparent per capita ethanol consumption for the United States, (1990)-1996.
> [Gallons of ethanol, based on population age 15 and older prior to1970 and on population age 14 and older thereafter].
>
> -----------------------------------------------------
> Year       Beer        Wine       Spirits        Total
> -----------------------------------------------------
> 1996       1.25        0.30          0.64         2.19
> 1995       1.25        0.29          0.64         2.17
> 1994       1.26        0.29          0.66         2.21
> 1993       1.28        0.29          0.69         2.25
> 1992       1.29        0.30          0.71         2.31
> 1991       1.29        0.30          0.71         2.30
> 1990       1.34        0.33          0.78         2.45
> -----------------------------------------------------
>
> Numbers may not sum to totals due to rounding.
>
> Sources: Alcohol Epidemiologic Data System.  Williams, G.D.; Stinson, F.S; Sanchez, L.L., and Dufour, M.C.  SURVEILLANCE REPORT #47: APPARENT PER CAPITA ALCOHOL CONSUMPTION: NATIONAL, STATE AND REGIONAL TRENDS, 1977-96.  Rockville, MD: National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, Division of Biometry and Epidemiology (December 1998).
>
> Data updated from:  Hyman, M.; Zimmerman, M.; Gurioli, C.; and Helrich, A.   DRINKERS, DRINKING AND ALCOHOL-RELATED MORTALITY AND HOSPITALIZATIONS:  A STATISTICAL COMPENDIUM, 1980 EDITION.  New Brunswick, NJ:  Rutgers University, 1980.
>
> Alcohol Epidemiologic Data System. Stinson, F.S.; Lane, J.D.; Williams, G.D.; and Dufour, M.C.  U.S. APPARENT CONSUMPTION OF ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES.  U.S. Alcohol Epidemiologic Data Reference Manual, Vol. 1, 3rd Edition.  Rockville, MD: National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, Division of Biometry and Epidemiology (October 1997).
> ---------------------------------------------------------
>
>
> Given 64 ounces in a gallon, 2.19 gallons per capita per year equals .384 ounces of alcohol consumption per day per capita for the referenced population group.  This level of consumption would seem to indicate one drink every several days for the general populace.
>
> If the population above 14 years old is 100 million (likely conservative), and, as some have declared "10% of the population accounts for 50% of the consumption", we have:
>
> 100 mm pple * 2.19 = 219 mm gal/yr
> 50% of 219 mm = 109 mm gal/yr
> 109.5 mm gal/yr cons. by 10 mm pple = 10.9 each/yr
> 10.9 gal/yr * 64 ounces / 365 days = 1.92 ounces/day
>
> Or, roughly one drink per day, several a week, probably enough to get drunk twice a week, making people wonder if you are in fact a problem drinker, and making you an "alcohol-related" statistic if you get involved in a traffic accident.
>
> Michael J. Farrand