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Male Drivers and Public Safety

88.6% of all accidents today could be avoided if all drivers had the demonstrated safety record per 100 Million miles of California's male drivers. See Calculations below for Chart

Male:Female Accident Ratio in California if Males Drive 87% of Miles
 California Drivers Male Female Total Female:Male Ratio Percent of all California Drivers in Accidents 6.4% 4.5% 5.5% .7:1 Total California Drivers 8,919,394 8,620,952 17,540,346 .97:1 Drivers/Year in Accidents 570,841 387,943 958,784 .68:1 Miles/Year Driven 229.7 Billion 34.3 Billion 264 Billion .41:1 Accidents Per 100 Million Miles 248.5 1,131 363.2 4.55:1 IF ALL DRIVERS HAD THE SAFETY RECORD OF CALIFORNIA'S MALE DRIVERS: Miles/Year Driven 264 Billion 0 264 Billion 0 Accidents Per 100 Million Miles 41.5 0 41.5 0 Drivers/Year in Accidents 109,576 0 109,576 0 Reduction in Drivers/Year Involved in Accidents 849,208 (or 88.6%)

CALCULATIONS FOR CHART
Some accidents involve only one driver and some involve 3 or more, a rough average of 2 drivers per accident, giving us (958,784 accidents divided by 2 drivers/accident), or 479,392 accidents per year.  The probability of a male having an accident is X, and the probability of a female having an accident as noted above is 4.55 times that, or 4.55X.
A = male:male accident = X x X = X2
B = female:female accident = 4.55X x 4.55X = 20.7X2
C = female:male accident = 4.55X x X = 4.55X2
A + B + C =  479,392 = 26.25X2
X2= 18,262.6
X = 135.1
A = 18,262.6
B = 378,306
C= 83,095
If the probability per mile of an accident of all of the B drivers were the same as the A drivers, then the number of B accidents would have been 18,262.6  rather than 378,306, which is 360,043.4 less. If all the C drivers had the same probability of having an accident as the A drivers, then the number of C accidents would have been 18,262.6  rather than 83,0954, which is 64,832.4 less.  Instead of 479,392 accidents, if drivers B & C had had the same skill as drivers A, there would have been only 54,787.8 accidents, which is 424,604.2, or 88.6%, fewer accidents, and 849,208 fewer drivers involved in accidents.  This is an accident rate of (109,576/264 Billion) or 41.5 per 100M miles.

 Modified Saturday, March 11, 2017 Copyright @ 2007 by Fathers' Manifesto & Christian Party