Eliminating fatherlessness immediately boosts GDP 3.7%!!



Our 3 decade experiment with single-mother households, supported by federal welfare and punitive divorce and illegitimacy policies, is a colossal failure. The decline of the world's most expensive educational system from first place 3 decades ago to lower than many third world nations today, coupled with an incarceration rate 8 to 10 times higher than most other industrialized nations, which quadrupled just in the last 3 decades, makes it clear that fatherlessness MUST be eliminated to reverse a terrible trend.

The boost to GDP as both the incarceration rate and the CJS (Criminal Justice System) employment rate decline 75% -- to their RATES of the 1960s -- as a result of decreasing fatherlessness and ending affirmative action, is profound. The cost savings alone associated with decreasing the size of this bureaucracy is a 3.7% boost to GDP, even in the unlikely event that this led to a doubling in "The Costs of Crime to Victims". The net trade-off between saving $226.9 Billion in CJS costs versus losing an additional $3.4 Billion to crime is a net gain to the economy of $223.5 Billion, or 3.7%.

	Tax savings and GDP increase			$226.9 Billion
	Less possible increased cost of crime	 	   3.4 Billion

	Net Savings					$223.5 Billion

Boosting GDP 3.7% is a worthy goal, even if crime did increase. But this worse case scenario ignores the abundant evidence that decreased fatherlessness would decrease crime and improve education quality, while decreasing justice system over-employment.

1) Eliminating affirmative action and reducing welfare, which Congress is currently doing could result in the least competent 75% of employees leaving the employment of the justice system, leaving behind the most competent ones. These more competent employes will incarcerate REAL criminals while releasing those falsely convicted by the incompetent employees who are too embarrassed to admit their mistakes.

2) Eliminating fatherlessness and disciplining and educating children properly in the first place reduces drug and alcohol abuse, lowers criminal activity, improves education and incomes, and eliminates much of the need for the justice system's involvement in the private family matters of all races and economic classes.

3) Increasing education quality increases incomes and significantly increases GDP. Assets currently forcibly removed from fathers in the name of "child support", of which a very small portion actually reaches the children, will be retained in family savings accounts for the children's future education, rather than paying the salaries of bureucrats and lawyers who add little if anything to the nation's productivity. Knowing that their income will be preserved for their families, fathers will be motivated to work and save, boosting GDP perhaps another 10%?

A) "U.S. DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE -- ADVANCE FOR RELEASE AT 5 P.M. EST -- BJS -- SUNDAY, DECEMBER 3, 1995 -- 202/307-0784 -- STATE AND FEDERAL PRISONS REPORT -- RECORD GROWTH DURING LAST 12 MONTHS -- Between 1980 and 1994 the total number of people held in federal and state prisons and local jails almost tripled--increasing from 501,886 to 1,483,410. As of December 31, 1994, the total incarceration rate reached 565 inmates per 100,000 U.S. residents."

B) "Subject: Justice Expenditures and Employment, 1990--Justice Expenditure and Employment, 1990 September 1992 NCJ-135777 -- *In October 1990, the Nation's civil and criminal justice system employed 1.7 million persons, with a total October payroll of almost $4.3 billion."

C) Per US Bureau of Labor Statistics the average GDP per Worker is $44,800.

D) Per US Social Security Administration, a citizen incarcerated for longer than 2 years qualifies for social security payments as a result of being 'institutionalized'. In other words, a 30 year old drug user incarcerated for 2 years immediately qualifies for perhaps $800 per month for the rest of his life. This means that for the privilege of being incarcerated, between 32 and 65 years of age, he collects $316,800 MORE than he would have had he not been incarcerated. He also might have been incentivized to become a productive member of the economy, rather than a ward of the state, had he not been offered this third of a million dollars to stay out of the workforce.

E) "Bureau of Justice Statistics Crime Data Brief--The Costs of Crime to Victims: Crime Data Brief--February 1994 NCJ-145865 -- Bureau of Justice Statistics Clearinghouse--800-732-3277 (fax Number for report orders and mail list signup only: 410-792-4358) Box 179,Annapolis Junction, MD 20701-0179 -- The Costs of Crime to Victims -- Crime victims in 1992 lost $17.6 billion in direct costs, according to the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS). These costs included losses from property theft or damage, cash losses, medical expenses, and amount of pay lost because of injury or activities related to the crime. The crimes included in this figure are rape, robbery, assault, personal and household theft, burglary, and motor vehicle theft. Crimes include attempts as well as completed offenses." [note -- with an insurance reimbursement estimated at an average of 80%, the net loss to crime victims is $3.5 Billion].

F) The imediate expenses for incarcerating each of these 1,483,410 inmates is $25,000 per year, or $37 Billion.

G) Current justice system policy removes an estimated 3,183,410 citizens from the productive sector of the labor market each year. If all of these citizens had entered the workforce and produced the average GDP per worker of $44,800 each, GDP could have been $142.6 Billion higher.

H) With an overhead of 80% (retirement benefits, medical benefits, utilities, facilities, etc.) for 1.7 million justice system employees and an October payroll of $4.3 Billion, the direct annual employee cost is estimated at $92.88 Billion.

I) The average additional cost for social security, welfare, AFDC, HUD, including future costs, etc. for each inmate is estimated to exceed $20,000, which is $30 Billion per year.

J) The total annual cost to employ 1.7 million justice system employees and incarcerate 1.4 million Americans is estimated at $302.5 Billion, which is about 86 times "The Costs of Crime to Victims".

K) DNA EVIDENCE PROVED ONE THIRD NOT GUILTY -- Per Newsweek (Jan. 11, 1993, p. 64, Kevin Krajik) the FBI tested the DNA evidence of men ALREADY convicted of rape (based mostly on verbal testimony from victims) and found that in ONE THIRD OF THE CASES the DNA evidence from the crime scene did not match the person convicted. The overall costs to society of incarcerating an innocent man are enormous, and go way beyond the immediate direct costs of incarceration. Not the least of this is justice system credibility, the ability of the system to police itself, increased fatherlessness, as well as the ability of the system to devote its resources to solving REAL crimes.